Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense 1-4 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo SP cruised past Atletico Paranaense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Atletico Paranaense carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 40% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.38 to 2.72.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo SP?
Atletico Paranaense 1-4 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 55%, draw 26%, Botafogo SP 19%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.