Operario PR 1-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -30%
1.02/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.25
-11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.3 Crosses 21.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
1W-2D-3L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
06.07.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
21.11.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
15.08.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
06.03.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRK
01.09.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-0
AWAY America Mineiro
1.14 xG 0.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
202 Passes 267
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR nicked a narrow win over America Mineiro 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Operario PR found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Operario PR had 45% of the ball to America Mineiro's 55%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.14 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Operario PR and 1.00 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs America Mineiro?

Operario PR 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 38%, draw 31%, America Mineiro 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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