Operario PR 1-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.52
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
31%
+8.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-9.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 42%
+18% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.97/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.25
+25% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.6 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
1W-2D-3L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 Passes 263
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
21.11.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-1 HT 0-1 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
15.08.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 1-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
06.03.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 0-2 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BRK
01.09.2019 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
27.04.2019 Operario PR Operario PR 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-0
AWAY America Mineiro
0.38 xG 1.03
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
271 Passes 472
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR squeezed past America Mineiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Operario PR made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Operario PR had 38% of the ball to America Mineiro's 62%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.38 to 1.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured America Mineiro.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Operario PR and 1.00 for America Mineiro.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs America Mineiro?

Operario PR 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 40%, draw 32%, America Mineiro 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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