Botafogo SP vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo SP v Ituano — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo SP vs Ituano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo SP
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Ituano
BR2
2-3
HT 1-2
Ituano
BREPAU
0-3
HT 0-1
Ituano
BRPL1
Botafogo SP 0-1 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics
Ituano nicked a narrow win over Botafogo SP 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Botafogo SP at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Botafogo SP had 41% of the ball to Ituano's 59%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.20 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botafogo SP and 2.00 for Ituano.
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Ituano?
Botafogo SP 0-1 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Ituano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo SP win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 46%, draw 29%, Ituano 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo SP) went the other way.