Paysandu vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR1
Paysandu 2-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Paysandu nicked a narrow win over Coritiba 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Paysandu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paysandu had 48% of the ball to Coritiba's 52%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.89 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paysandu's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Paysandu and 1.33 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Coritiba?
Paysandu 2-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 37%, draw 32%, Coritiba 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paysandu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.