Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Emelec
EKV1
2-3
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
2-3
HT 1-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
Independiente Del Valle 1-2 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Emelec squeezed past Independiente Del Valle 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Independiente Del Valle carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 68% of the ball to Emelec's 32%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.30 to 0.60 — on chances, Independiente Del Valle could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.17 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec?
Independiente Del Valle 1-2 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 55%, draw 24%, Emelec 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.