Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Emelec
EKV1
2-3
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
2-3
HT 1-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
1-1
HT 1-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Emelec 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 72% of the ball to Emelec's 28%, shots finished 23-3, expected goals 2.57 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Del Valle's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.17 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec?
Independiente Del Valle 2-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 61%, draw 22%, Emelec 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.