Imbabura 4-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imbabura EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 62%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.03/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.94
-32% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
19.9 Crosses 19.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imbabura
1W-0D-1L
AWAY LDU Quito
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.45 xG 3.95
45% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 417
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 5-0 HT 1-0 Imbabura Imbabura EKV1
20.07.2022 Imbabura Imbabura 2-1 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imbabura
4-0
AWAY LDU Quito
2.64 xG 0.95
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
124 Passes 260
59% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Imbabura vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imbabura swept aside LDU Quito 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Imbabura had 37% of the ball to LDU Quito's 63%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.64 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Imbabura and 3.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Imbabura vs LDU Quito?

Imbabura 4-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imbabura vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Imbabura 23%, draw 23%, LDU Quito 54%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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