Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.4pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.3pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.47/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.00
+59% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
03.07.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-0
AWAY Hadiya Hosaena
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna nicked a narrow win over Hadiya Hosaena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Ethiopia Bunna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 49% of the ball to Hadiya Hosaena's 51%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hadiya Hosaena led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.50 for Hadiya Hosaena.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-0 Hadiya Hosaena in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 38%, draw 35%, Hadiya Hosaena 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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