Union Magdalena 0-3 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 May 2025

Union Magdalena
0-3
Once Caldas
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2026

Union Magdalena vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Magdalena v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.29/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.89
-13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
18.9 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Union Magdalena vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
218 Passes 288
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.09.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
08.04.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
08.07.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-2 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
23.01.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
30.10.2019 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-1 HT 2-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
05.05.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL

Union Magdalena 0-3 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
0-3
AWAY Once Caldas
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
255 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas cruised past Union Magdalena 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Once Caldas made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 46% of the ball to Once Caldas's 54%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.33 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Once Caldas?

Union Magdalena 0-3 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Magdalena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 36%, draw 33%, Once Caldas 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Magdalena), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Magdalena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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