Aguilas Doradas 3-3 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.2pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +28%
1.16/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.28
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
18.0 Crosses 12.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
274 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
18.03.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
12.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.03.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
20.09.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.04.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3-3
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
2.01 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
296 Passes 216
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aguilas Doradas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 45%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 2.01 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Aguilas Doradas 3-3 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 41%, draw 33%, Deportivo Pereira 26%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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