Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.21/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.11
+6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
17.6 Crosses 12.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.71 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
309 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.03.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
12.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.03.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
20.09.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
15.04.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOLK
07.04.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.08 xG 0.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
132 Passes 234
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 39% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 61%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 39%, draw 31%, Deportivo Pereira 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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