La Equidad 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-4.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+4.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.02/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.25
-19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
16.8 Crosses 13.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.05.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
16.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
30.04.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.11.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.91 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
190 Passes 222
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga edged past La Equidad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atletico Bucaramanga found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, La Equidad had 49% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 51%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.91 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Equidad and 1.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

La Equidad 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 37%, draw 30%, Atletico Bucaramanga 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Equidad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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