Al Nasar 5-2 Al Yarmouk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.36/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.25
-17% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
307 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Yarmouk
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
10.04.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUVEK
13.02.2025 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
29.09.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
09.03.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
29.11.2020 Al Nasar Al Nasar 5-0 HT 1-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar swept aside Al Yarmouk 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nasar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Nasar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Al Nasar and 0.40 for Al Yarmouk.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk?

Al Nasar 5-2 Al Yarmouk in the Kuwait - Premier League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 48%, draw 27%, Al Yarmouk 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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