Kasımpaşa 1-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 May 2025

Kasımpaşa
1-1 HT 1-0
Trabzonspor
📅05/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.29
2-3 Goals
37%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.49
6+ Goals
15%
5.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.08
1/2
5%
24.2
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
5.93
X/2
14%
6.86
X/X
12%
6.38
2/1
7%
21.25
2/2
16%
3.85
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · X/1 at 5.93 — our 17% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kasımpaşa v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -26%
1.65/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.51
+28% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.8 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.60 xG 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
256 Passes 417
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
29.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
01.09.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa HAZ
10.10.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Kasımpaşa 1-1 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
1-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.63 xG 0.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
340 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa and Trabzonspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 53% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 47%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.63 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?

Kasımpaşa 1-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 40%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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