Monterey Bay vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 1-1 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay and Miami FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Monterey Bay at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 43% of the ball to Miami FC's 57%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.32 to 1.81.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Monterey Bay and 0.33 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Miami FC?
Monterey Bay 1-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 49%, draw 27%, Miami FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monterey Bay), BTTS No went the other way.