Ajman 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.5pp
60%
Away Win
59%
+1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.32/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.11
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -29%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
268 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 85%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
16.0 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
321 Passes 416
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.01.2026 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-0 HT 3-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
26.10.2025 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 2-1 Ajman Ajman BAECK
11.04.2025 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
23.11.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-0 HT 3-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
14.05.2024 Ajman Ajman 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
08.12.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-5 HT 1-2 Ajman Ajman BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
1-1
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
0.99 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
187 Passes 198
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman and Al Jazira Abu Dhabi shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Al Jazira Abu Dhabi carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Ajman had 48% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 52%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.99 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajman and 1.83 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Ajman 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ajman 20%, draw 20%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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