Ajman 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.67/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.36
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 84%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
14.0 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.47 xG 1.78
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 497
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-0 HT 3-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
14.05.2024 Ajman Ajman 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
08.12.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-5 HT 1-2 Ajman Ajman BAE
18.03.2023 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
23.10.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
06.05.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-0 HT 2-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
1-1
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.25 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
312 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajman and Al Jazira Abu Dhabi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Ajman had 48% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 52%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.25 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ajman and 1.50 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Ajman 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ajman 35%, draw 22%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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