Al Ittihad Kalba 1-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 11 Apr 2025

Al Ittihad Kalba
1-2 HT 0-0
Al Ahli FC Dubai
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
UAE - League – 2024/2025

Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
55%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
9%
7.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 26% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-12.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ittihad Kalba v Al Ahli FC Dubai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 72%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.03/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.72
+22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +22%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 84%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
14.3 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.78 xG 1.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
239 Passes 379
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
21.04.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 4-1 HT 2-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
03.11.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
02.03.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
07.10.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
07.05.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE

Al Ittihad Kalba 1-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad Kalba
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.88 xG 2.48
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
216 Passes 371
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai squeezed past Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Ittihad Kalba had 38% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 62%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.88 to 2.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli FC Dubai's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Ittihad Kalba and 1.83 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Ittihad Kalba 1-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad Kalba 21%, draw 24%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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