Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Ittihad Kalba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ahli FC Dubai v Al Ittihad Kalba — Team-Based Signals
Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Ittihad Kalba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ittihad Kalba
BAE
2-1
HT 2-0
Al Ittihad Kalba
BAE
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahli FC Dubai
BAE
2-0
HT 2-0
Al Ittihad Kalba
BAE
Al Ahli FC Dubai 4-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli FC Dubai cruised past Al Ittihad Kalba 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 68% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 32%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 3.16 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 0.50 for Al Ittihad Kalba.
What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Ittihad Kalba?
Al Ahli FC Dubai 4-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Al Ittihad Kalba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 51%, draw 23%, Al Ittihad Kalba 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.