Al Bataeh 1-3 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 21 Apr 2024

Al Bataeh
1-3 HT 0-1
Al Nasr
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
38%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.75
2-3 Goals
45%
1.92
4-5 Goals
20%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
7.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.75 — our 25% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.4pp
39%
Away Win
53%
-14.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Bataeh v Al Nasr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 57%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.55/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.97
+51% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -21%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
12.9 Crosses 21.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
06.05.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
24.12.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
25.11.2022 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
12.10.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr beat Al Bataeh 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Nasr found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Bataeh had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Bataeh and 1.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr?

Al Bataeh 1-3 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 31%, draw 31%, Al Nasr 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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