Vila Nova 1-1 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 May 2026

Vila Nova
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Athletic Club
📅05/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.56
Over
39%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.07
No
54%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.3
2-3
46%
1.71
4-5
16%
4.63
6+
3%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Vila Nova v Athletic Club — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vila Nova The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.68 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
0.67 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Athletic Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.83 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
272 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.09.2025 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 1-0 Athletic Club Athletic Club BR2
07.05.2025 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2

Vila Nova 1-1 Athletic Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
1 - 1
AWAY Athletic Club
1.57 xG 1.04
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
443 Passes 186
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 5
31 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Vila Nova vs Athletic Club
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vila Nova and Athletic Club traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned Vila Nova at 50% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 68% to 32% in Vila Nova's favour, shots finished 23-2, expected goals 1.57 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Vila Nova against 0.50 for Athletic Club.

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Result & Final Score

Vila Nova 1 - 1 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 50%, draw 31%, Athletic Club 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vila Nova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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