Vila Nova 1-1 Athletic Club — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Sep 2025

Vila Nova Elo 1590 · World #688 (clubs) LWWLD→
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Athletic Club Elo 1555 · World #945 (clubs) DLDLW→
📅09/09/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 08:42
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
34%
2.89
Away
27%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
65%
1.55
Over
35%
2.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.08
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.09
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
14%
5.22
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Vila Nova v Athletic Club — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vila Nova The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Athletic Club The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
0.83 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Athletic Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.91 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
305 Passes 277
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.05.2025 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2

Vila Nova 1-1 Athletic Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
1 - 1
AWAY Athletic Club
0.76 xG 0.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
240 Passes 379
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Vila Nova vs Athletic Club
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Vila Nova and Athletic Club with a point apiece. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

A draw from a 39% / 34% / 27% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (65%) came in, no to both teams scoring (55%) didn't.

By the numbers, Vila Nova had 44% of the ball to Athletic Club's 56%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.76 to 0.57.

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Result & Final Score

Vila Nova 1 - 1 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vila Nova vs Athletic Club Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 39%, draw 34%, Athletic Club 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vila Nova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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