Cuiaba vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuiaba v CRB — Team-Based Signals
Cuiaba vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Cuiaba
BR2
3-0
HT 0-0
CRB
BR2
5-1
HT 3-1
CRB
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
BR2
Cuiaba 1-0 CRB — Actual Match Statistics
Cuiaba squeezed past CRB 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Cuiaba had 34% of the ball to CRB's 66%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.42 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cuiaba's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Cuiaba and 1.20 for CRB.
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs CRB?
Cuiaba 1-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs CRB?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 50%, draw 24%, CRB 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.