Novorizontino 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.48
Over 2.5
49%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.44
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
36%
+12.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.61/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.45
+30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
22.3 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
309 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.05.2025 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
02.11.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 2-2 HT 1-2 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
08.07.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.67 xG 0.40
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
340 Passes 181
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino and Atletico Goianiense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Novorizontino at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Novorizontino had 64% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 36%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.67 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Goianiense led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Novorizontino and 1.67 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?

Novorizontino 1-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie B on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 46%, draw 27%, Atletico Goianiense 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novorizontino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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