PFC Beroe 2-2 Montana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Montana EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.13/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-5% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Montana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Montana Montana 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
20.10.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-1 HT 1-1 Montana Montana BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
2-2
AWAY Montana
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe and Montana couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was PFC Beroe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 55% of the ball to Montana's 45%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PFC Beroe and 0.50 for Montana.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Montana?

PFC Beroe 2-2 Montana in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Montana?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 42%, draw 30%, Montana 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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