Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.62/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.89
+42% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2026 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 3-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
08.11.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
07.05.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
14.02.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
17.05.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2-2
AWAY Botev Vratsa
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and Botev Vratsa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 62% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 38%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 1.00 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-2 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 54%, draw 25%, Botev Vratsa 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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