Botev Vratsa 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.02/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.48
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
07.05.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
14.02.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
17.05.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
06.11.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
3-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa edged past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Botev Vratsa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 56% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 44%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Botev Vratsa 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 34%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5
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