Botev Vratsa 0-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Feb 2025

📅14/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.89/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.89
-15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
17.05.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
06.11.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
17.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
02.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 cruised past Botev Vratsa 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Botev Vratsa 0-3 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 35%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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