Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.57/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.20
-3% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.02.2025 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
17.05.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-1 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
06.11.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
17.07.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
02.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 cruised past Botev Vratsa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 52% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 48%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.67 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 47%, draw 25%, Botev Vratsa 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →