Mumbai City vs East Bengal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mumbai City v East Bengal — Team-Based Signals
Mumbai City vs East Bengal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
East Bengal
HİNSL
0-1
HT 0-0
East Bengal
HİNSL
0-3
HT 0-1
Mumbai City
HİNSL
Mumbai City 1-2 East Bengal — Actual Match Statistics
East Bengal edged past Mumbai City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had East Bengal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Mumbai City had 52% of the ball to East Bengal's 48%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.13 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mumbai City and 0.50 for East Bengal.
What was the final score of Mumbai City vs East Bengal?
Mumbai City 1-2 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs East Bengal?
Before kick-off our model rated an East Bengal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 29%, draw 22%, East Bengal 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Bengal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.