Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Khaleej v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Khaleej
SUUD
2-0
HT 2-0
Al Khaleej
SUUD
Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh squeezed past Al Khaleej 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Khaleej had 35% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 65%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 0.57 to 1.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Khaleej and 2.50 for Al Hilal Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 15%, draw 16%, Al Hilal Riyadh 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.