Montserrat 1-0 Belize — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 35% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montserrat EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Belize EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montserrat
1-0
AWAY Belize
1.37 xG 0.45
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
116 Passes 391
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montserrat vs Belize
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montserrat squeezed past Belize 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Montserrat made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Montserrat had 29% of the ball to Belize's 71%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Montserrat vs Belize?

Montserrat 1-0 Belize in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montserrat vs Belize?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montserrat win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montserrat 40%, draw 31%, Belize 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montserrat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montserrat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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