Avustralya 1-0 Japonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒14:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avustralya EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.00/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.57
-67% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.0
20.5 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avustralya
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Japonya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.36 xG 1.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
368 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2024 Japonya Japonya 1-1 HT 0-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
24.03.2022 Avustralya Avustralya 0-2 HT 0-0 Japonya Japonya DKE
12.10.2021 Japonya Japonya 2-1 HT 1-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
31.08.2017 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
11.10.2016 Avustralya Avustralya 1-1 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya DKE
18.11.2014 Japonya Japonya 2-1 HT 0-0 Avustralya Avustralya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avustralya
1-0
AWAY Japonya
0.33 xG 0.51
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 8
217 Passes 571
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 15
3 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Avustralya vs Japonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avustralya edged past Japonya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Avustralya found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avustralya had 31% of the ball to Japonya's 69%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.33 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Japonya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Avustralya and 1.67 for Japonya.

What was the final score of Avustralya vs Japonya?

Avustralya 1-0 Japonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avustralya vs Japonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Avustralya 36%, draw 30%, Japonya 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avustralya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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