Japonya 1-1 Avustralya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Oct 2024

Japonya
1-1 HT 0-0
Avustralya
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒13:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Japonya vs Avustralya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.03
Over 2.5
37%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 33% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
19.6
X/1
16%
3.46
X/2
7%
14.9
X/X
12%
6.32
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
7%
12.3
2/X
9%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.9pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.8pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
45%
+18.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
55%
-18.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Japonya v Avustralya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya EU Bookmakers 16%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.12/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +126%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.1 Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards –

Japonya vs Avustralya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Avustralya
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.68 xG 0.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 409
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.03.2022 Avustralya Avustralya 0-2 HT 0-0 Japonya Japonya DKE
12.10.2021 Japonya Japonya 2-1 HT 1-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
31.08.2017 Japonya Japonya 2-0 HT 1-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
11.10.2016 Avustralya Avustralya 1-1 HT 0-1 Japonya Japonya DKE
18.11.2014 Japonya Japonya 2-1 HT 0-0 Avustralya Avustralya HAZ
04.06.2013 Japonya Japonya 1-1 HT 0-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE

Japonya 1-1 Avustralya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya
1-1
AWAY Avustralya
0.74 xG 0.01
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
502 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 0
31 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Japonya vs Avustralya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya and Avustralya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Japonya at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Japonya had 65% of the ball to Avustralya's 35%, shots finished 12-1, expected goals 0.74 to 0.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Japonya had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Japonya and 0.67 for Avustralya.

What was the final score of Japonya vs Avustralya?

Japonya 1-1 Avustralya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya vs Avustralya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Japonya 51%, draw 29%, Avustralya 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Japonya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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