Güney Kore 3-2 Irak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.1pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.93/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.04/1.72
-28% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +122%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.7
19.5 Crosses 12.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kore
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Irak
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.31 xG 0.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
458 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Irak Irak 0-1 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
16.11.2021 Irak Irak 0-3 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
02.09.2021 Güney Kore Güney Kore 0-0 HT 0-0 Irak Irak DKE
26.01.2015 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-0 HT 1-0 Irak Irak ASK
25.07.2007 Irak Irak 0-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore
3-2
AWAY Irak
76% Ball Possession 24%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
629 Passes 146
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH Güney Kore vs Irak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore edged past Irak 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Güney Kore as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Güney Kore had 76% of the ball to Irak's 24%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Güney Kore had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Güney Kore and 0.00 for Irak.

What was the final score of Güney Kore vs Irak?

Güney Kore 3-2 Irak in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore vs Irak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore 52%, draw 25%, Irak 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
15 Oct 2024
00:00 İran vs Katar Analysis →
00:00 Filistin vs Kuveyt Analysis →
13:35 Japonya vs Avustralya Analysis →
15:00 Çin vs Endonezya Analysis →
17:00 Özbekistan vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Analysis →
17:00 Kırgızistan vs Kuzey Kore Analysis →