İran 4-1 Katar — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 11:12
Match Result
HomeVIEW
57%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
18%
4.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.14
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.73
6+
5%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İran The Market 58%
Signal
AWAY Katar The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.75 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.16
0.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.73
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
488 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İran
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Katar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.39 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
287 Passes 297
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2024 İran İran 2-3 HT 1-2 Katar Katar ASK
17.10.2023 Katar Katar 0-4 HT 0-0 İran İran HAZ
23.03.2017 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
01.09.2016 İran İran 2-0 HT 0-0 Katar Katar DKE
15.01.2015 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran ASK
04.06.2013 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran
4 - 1
AWAY Katar
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 6
301 Passes 354
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
REVIEW İran vs Katar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İran cruised past Katar 4-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İran as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

The match data tells the story: İran had 46% of the ball to Katar's 54%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for İran and 0.50 for Katar.

İran vs Katar Result & Final Score

İran 4 - 1 Katar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İran vs Katar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split İran 57%, draw 25%, Katar 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İran) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İran) ✗ Under 2.5
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