Özbekistan 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +65% / +65%
1.15/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.00
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +44%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.1 Crosses 14.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Özbekistan
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
14.11.2017 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-0 HT 1-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan HAZ
05.03.2014 Özbekistan Özbekistan 1-1 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASKE
22.03.2013 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-1 HT 0-1 Özbekistan Özbekistan ASKE
03.03.2010 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-1 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Özbekistan
1-0
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
425 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH Özbekistan vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Özbekistan squeezed past Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Özbekistan as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Özbekistan had 60% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 40%, shots finished 24-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Özbekistan and 1.25 for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

What was the final score of Özbekistan vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Özbekistan 1-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Özbekistan vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Özbekistan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Özbekistan 52%, draw 25%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Özbekistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Özbekistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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