Kırgızistan 1-0 Kuzey Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Oct 2024

Kırgızistan
1-0 HT 1-0
Kuzey Kore
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Kırgızistan vs Kuzey Kore Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
5.34
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kırgızistan v Kuzey Kore — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kırgızistan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 48%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+5% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kırgızistan 1-0 Kuzey Kore — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kırgızistan
1-0
AWAY Kuzey Kore
0.68 xG 0.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
187 Passes 348
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kırgızistan vs Kuzey Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kırgızistan nicked a narrow win over Kuzey Kore 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kırgızistan found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kırgızistan had 39% of the ball to Kuzey Kore's 61%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.68 to 0.62.

What was the final score of Kırgızistan vs Kuzey Kore?

Kırgızistan 1-0 Kuzey Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kırgızistan vs Kuzey Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kırgızistan 35%, draw 26%, Kuzey Kore 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kuzey Kore), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Kore) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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