Endonezya 1-0 Çin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Çin EU Bookmakers 27%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.19/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.58
-36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
13.0 Crosses 10.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Çin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.49 xG 0.88
76% Ball Possession 24%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
506 Passes 98
84% Pass Accuracy 51%
21 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2024 Çin Çin 2-1 HT 2-0 Endonezya Endonezya DKE
15.11.2013 Çin Çin 1-0 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASKE
15.10.2013 Endonezya Endonezya 1-1 HT 0-1 Çin Çin ASKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
1-0
AWAY Çin
1.51 xG 0.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
279 Passes 314
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Çin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Endonezya squeezed past Çin 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Endonezya as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Endonezya had 48% of the ball to Çin's 52%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.51 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Çin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Endonezya and 1.33 for Çin.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Çin?

Endonezya 1-0 Çin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Çin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Endonezya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 43%, draw 27%, Çin 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Endonezya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Endonezya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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