Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.7pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.4pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 50%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.17
+25% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mekelakeya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
01.03.2024 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 2-3 HT 1-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-1
AWAY Mekelakeya
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelakeya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 44% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 56%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hadiya Hosaena had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.00 for Mekelakeya.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 24%, draw 34%, Mekelakeya 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mekelakeya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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