Birmingham Legion 0-1 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 5 Jun 2025

Birmingham Legion
0-1 HT 0-1
Indy Eleven
📅05/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.04 — our 29% vs market 18.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham Legion v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.00/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.58
-29% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
14.5 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.90 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
371 Passes 337
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 3-2 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
10.06.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
10.08.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
18.06.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
13.10.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 3-1 HT 2-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
11.09.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-3 HT 3-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP

Birmingham Legion 0-1 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
0-1
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.45 xG 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
496 Passes 304
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Indy Eleven squeezed past Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Indy Eleven found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 60% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 40%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.33 — on chances, Birmingham Legion could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.33 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?

Birmingham Legion 0-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 37%, draw 29%, Indy Eleven 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✓ Under 2.5
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