Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kauno Zalgiris v Zalgiris Vilnius — Team-Based Signals
Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Kauno Zalgiris
LIT1
2-5
HT 0-3
Zalgiris Vilnius
LITA
3-0
HT 1-0
Zalgiris Vilnius
LITK
2-1
HT 1-0
Kauno Zalgiris
LIT1
Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Actual Match Statistics
Kauno Zalgiris squeezed past Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zalgiris Vilnius at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 35% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 65%, shots finished 11-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.50 for Zalgiris Vilnius.
What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Zalgiris Vilnius?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 23%, draw 22%, Zalgiris Vilnius 56%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.