Weston Bears 4-2 Belmont Swansea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.6pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Belmont Swansea EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.43/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.37
-38% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Belmont Swansea
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.04.2025 Belmont Swansea 0-3 HT 0-1 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Belmont Swansea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears beat Belmont Swansea 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Belmont Swansea?

Weston Bears 4-2 Belmont Swansea in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Belmont Swansea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 61%, draw 16%, Belmont Swansea 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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