O Connor Knights 2-3 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.2pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 34%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.29/3.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.10
-35% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
03.08.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
14.07.2024 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
20.04.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
05.08.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-2 HT 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
10.06.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United squeezed past O Connor Knights 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was O Connor Knights at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for O Connor Knights and 0.83 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?

O Connor Knights 2-3 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 44%, draw 27%, Tuggeranong United 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (O Connor Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
5 Jul 2025
00:00 Cooks Hill United vs New Lambton FC Analysis →
00:00 Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets Analysis →
00:00 Campbelltown City vs Croydon Kings Analysis →
06:00 Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Analysis →
07:00 Edgeworth Eagles vs Maitland Analysis →
07:00 Weston Bears vs Belmont Swansea Analysis →