Tuggeranong United 1-1 O Connor Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.4pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 49%
+63% / +63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY O Connor Knights
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-2 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
14.07.2024 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-2 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVTCT
20.04.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
05.08.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-2 HT 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
10.06.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
22.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 5-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs O Connor Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuggeranong United and O Connor Knights shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was O Connor Knights at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tuggeranong United and 2.67 for O Connor Knights.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs O Connor Knights?

Tuggeranong United 1-1 O Connor Knights in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs O Connor Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 35%, draw 21%, O Connor Knights 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (O Connor Knights), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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