Western Sydney W. II 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
53%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.6pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 71%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -22%
1.48/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.13
-26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -26%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
208 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.5 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney W. II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
1.31 xG 2.01
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
420 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-1 HT 4-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
03.08.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-3 HT 3-2 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
28.04.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 0-6 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
08.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
25.03.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-2 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.08.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers edged past Western Sydney W. II 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Western Sydney W. II and 3.83 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Western Sydney W. II 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney W. II 20%, draw 27%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
5 Jul 2025
00:00 Cooks Hill United vs New Lambton FC Analysis →
00:00 Adelaide City vs Adelaide Comets Analysis →
00:00 Campbelltown City vs Croydon Kings Analysis →
07:00 Edgeworth Eagles vs Maitland Analysis →
07:00 Weston Bears vs Belmont Swansea Analysis →
08:00 O Connor Knights vs Tuggeranong United Analysis →