APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-3 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.25
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
27%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
76%
-21.5pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.5pp
27%
Away Win
11%
+16.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.86/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.07
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
276 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 0-6 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
08.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
25.03.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-2 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.08.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers beat Western Sydney W. II 5-3. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.00 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-3 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 54%, draw 19%, Western Sydney W. II 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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