APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-1 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.6pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.43/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.83
-12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.7 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
2.01 xG 1.31
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
276 Passes 420
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-3 HT 3-2 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
28.04.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 0-6 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
08.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
25.03.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-2 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.08.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers ran out comfortable winners over Western Sydney W. II 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.40 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-1 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 53%, draw 24%, Western Sydney W. II 23%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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