Wilstermann 1-3 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.3pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.0pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 60%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+131% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
226 Passes 306
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-4 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLPLK
27.04.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
28.10.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
14.07.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
21.08.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
05.04.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
1-3
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.61 xG 2.02
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
261 Passes 345
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi saw off Wilstermann 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 44% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 56%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 2.61 to 2.02 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wilstermann.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wilstermann had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wilstermann and 1.33 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi?

Wilstermann 1-3 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 21%, draw 33%, Nacional Potosi 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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